The last time Phish played in Telluride was 10/28/1991 at the Elk Ballroom:
Set 1: The Curtain > Runaway Jim, Cavern, Poor Heart, Reba, I Didn’t Know, Tube, The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony > Foam, Fee -> David BowieSet 2: The Divided Sky, Wilson > Dinner and a Movie > Stash, Paul and Silas, Bathtub Gin, You Enjoy Myself, The Squirming Coil, Harpua, Hold Your Head Up > Whipping Post > Hold Your Head Up, Highway to Hell
Encore: Horn, Rocky Top
Obviously a lot has changed since then–not only Phish’s sound but also Phish’s song selection. Phish has played in Telluride ten times. Ten shows played in one city is usually enough to base loose predictions on, however, since the last show played was in 1991, it is somewhat of a different story in this case. If we went off the statistics for the songs most commonly played there, let’s say Phish will play 35 songs over the two nights they will be playing there, we could expect this:
The most likely song we will see in Telluride will be Take the ‘A’ Train with a 60% chance. Fee would be in second place. Whipping Post has a 50% chance of popping up over the two-headed stint, tied with La Grange and The Lizards. We can expect to see Alumni Blues and Satin Doll, along with Forbin’s > Mockingbird and Letter to Jimmy Page.
Although not in the top 35 most likely played songs, there is a 20% chance of seeing a Dear Mrs. Reagan, Light Up or Leave Me Alone and Peaches en Regalia. A 10% chance of seeing Anarchy, Caravan, Carolina, Dave’s Energy Guide, Flat Fee, Icculus, Mustang Sally, She Caught the Katy, Skin it Back and the Landlady.
Now, obviously those statistics are unlikely because they are dated, but it sure is fun to look at them and think what the show would be like if the upcoming Telluride Throwdown kept to it’s pattern from years ago. There are so many possibilities over those two nights–Will Phish play Gamehendge? Will Phish do something for Jerry Garcia’s death? Icculus? Story about Telluride? Old school song selection? Late night bar stage appearances? What’s going to happen? I have a feeling it’s going to be out of the ordinary.